Thursday, September 14, 2017

World Championship ITT and TTT Preview

World Championships

Men’s elite TTT: This should be a race between three teams, BMC, Quick Step, and surprisingly SKY
The reason I say surprisingly is because they've never produced a great TTT at the worlds
Sure they've done well at grand tours but they’ve not gone all out at the worlds
Until now
This team, in my mind, is the strongest one they could put together
Geraint Thomas
Gianni Moscon
Vasil Kyrienka
Owain Doull
Michal Kwiatkowski
Chris Froome
I mean come on
Other than Doull that’s like a who's who of top Froome domestiques + Froome
Although we can’t count Doull out, he won a gold medal for team GB in the olympics in Rio on the track last year and Sky wouldn’t have just put him on this team of teams for a laugh
Individually this team is stacked
Polish National champ
Italian national champ
Former world champ
2x bronze medalist in olympics
At least 5 grand tour itt stage wins
63 yellow jersies
(oh yeah and 5 grand tour wins but whatever)

Then we have BMC who were the 2x reigning champs until Quick step upset them last year
Rohan Dennis
Stefan Kung
Daniel Oss
Manuel Quinziato
Silvan Dillier
Myles Scotson
Ok so obviously Dennis is one of the most powerful men in the world, he’ll be a huge asset as long as he doesn’t blow everybody else up
Stefan Kung had a couple good results in the tour with a top 5 in the opening ITT and then ninth in the stage 20 ITT which included a hard climb which proves he’ll be alright with the hill they have to go up
Daniel Oss is just a beast, sadly for BMC he’s switching to Bora next year, Oss and Sagan together in the classics is scary
Manuel Quinziato is the old guy, good power, team captain, he’s just so smart, should be strong
Dillier won a stage in the giro this year, he’s also the swiss champ if my memory is correct so he’s done well in the past and has been a part of at least one world champ team
Myles Scotson is a new name for me but apparently he has a track team pursuit background which is so similar to the TTT they could be twins, we’ll see what he can do.

Quick step
Niki Terpstra
Bob Jungels
Yves Lampaert
Julien Vermot
Jack Bauer
Philipe Gilbert
A very strong and experienced team, but the big question is how will they be able to function without Tony Martin
I think they’ll do alright
Jack Bauer is as strong as they come and I hope I don’t need to talk about Gilbert
I’ll say two words
Stud Muffin
This is a team that includes some riders from the Vuelta team that lost to BMC in the opening TTT, half the team actually, but Vermont, Bauer, and Gilbert add some power they didn’t have at the Vuelta
That being said, considering BMC only had two of their guys in the vuelta ttt, and we can assume the other guys they picked are stronger than those at the Vuelta, they have to be the favorites. Also, quick step had Trentin and Alaphilipe, two very strong riders, in the Vuelta so quick step might not be able to defend their title
Sky are really the question mark
As studly as their line up is there are some questions
Originally I wasn’t sure about Kyrienka, Thomas, and Kwiato but they all had good performances in the Tour of Britain ITT so they should be confident
But is Froome too tired from the double?
How is Moscon post his first grand tour?
And simply, Doull?
My predicition: BMC win, SKY second, Quick Step take the Bronze

Mens elite ITT
Favorites:
Dumoulin
Froome
Dennis
Martin
Kwiatkowski
Zakarin?

I just put down some names that popped out to me on the provisional start list, 
Obviously the big favorites are Froome and Dumoulin
Martin is the defending champ but the 3.4 k climb at 9.5% at the end of the ITT will probably kill his chances
Going down the list, Dennis pops out to me, he rode the Vuelta but didn’t do much, could he be carrying some form? He did pull out of the Vuelta with a “respiratory infection” but pretty much didn’t wanna risk getting any sicker in the last week
Obviously I already talked about Martin
Now Kwiatkowski is honestly a little bit of a dark horse
He did very well in he tour tts this years and can definitley climb, we’ll see how he goes

I put Zakarin on there because he climbed so well at the Vuelta and also had a pretty good ITT
I bet he’ll be tired but a top 10 isn’t beyond him

In my mind this is a four man battle
Kwiatkowski
Dumoulin
Froome 
Dennis
Kwiato just finished up the Tour of Britain and will be somewhat fresh going in
He finished 7th in the Tour of Britain time trial so he obviously has some decent form, he probably can’t win but a top 3 isn’t out of the question

Dennis is kind of a question mark
He has the most amount of power out of these guys so he should take some time leading into the climb
But the problem is that the climb is so steep it’ll be hard for Dennis to compete

Froome is undoubtedly the best climber of the group, he shold have good form coming off the vuelta but the question is how tired will he be. Also will he be able to stay with the other guys while the course is flat and then make up enough time to win on the climb
Dumoulin is my pick to win, although Froome is a better climber, Dumoulin is the freshest out of the favourites and should be able to get enough of a gap on Froome on the flats
Also, Froome hasn’t ever won a grand tour ITT not in the third week and hasn’t won a non grand tour ITT since 2014
Think back to last year’s olympics, on a course that suited Froome he lost to Dumoulin and Cancellara (and would’ve lost to Dennis had he not had a mechanical)
Froome is the best in three week tours because he, as a great grand tour winner, handles the fatigue better than Tony Martin in the third week.
He isn’t as good when everyone comes in fresh

My pick: Dumoulin 1st, Froome 2nd, Dennis 3rd

Love to hear feedback from you guys 

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